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BUZZ-MS sees seasonal restock to bring metals & mining back into focus
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BUZZ-MS sees seasonal restock to bring metals & mining back into focus

** As China's steel demand indicators disappoint, Morgan Stanley says a seasonal restock would bring the metals & mining sector back into focus

** Says, prospects of a meaningful demand inflection in China remain limited in the absence of more decisive stimulus, but sees a modest and seasonal pick-up in activity through year-end

** Steel-making raw materials like iron ore and metallurgical coal are trading into the cost curve, limiting prospects of a sustained price decline from current levels, the broker says

** Mining equities are pricing further price declines, which MS sees as unsustainable

** The brokerage's most preferred mining companies are Endeavour Mining EDV.L, KGHM KGH.WA, Metlen MYTr.AT, Norsk Hydro NHY.OL, Rio Tinto RIO.L (all "overweight"-rated)

** MS keeps "neutral" on Aurubis NAFG.DE, Befesa BFSA.DE, First Quantum Minerals FM.TO, Fresnillo FRES.L, and Glencore GLEN.L

** It downgrades London-listed Chilean miner Antofagasta ANTO.L to "underweight" from "equal weight" citing production risks, a heavy capex cycle and a stretched implied copper price

** The broker's least preferred stocks in the sector ("underweight"-rated) are Antofagasta and Boliden BOL.ST, the latter still challenged on operational/project setbacks and unfavourable smelting exposure



(Reporting by Marta Frąckowiak)

((marta.frackowiak@thomsonreuters.com))

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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